Coronavirus could kickstart 'Make in India'​
ROADS & HIGHWAYS

Coronavirus could kickstart 'Make in India'​

Coronavirus has put the brakes on growth in several industries. But it has also pummeled the ‘Make in China’ story. China produces nine times the volume of steel that India does; 40 per cent of this is used in construction. Over a third of Chinese steel mills are considering cutting production because of rising inventories. Owing to slow construction activities, the outlook for domestic rebar demand is negative. JCB UK has already cut its production as over 25 per cent of its components and parts suppliers have been affected, in turn disrupting its delivery and production schedules. Komatsu, which sources components from its own plants and outside partners in China, is shifting production of metal parts used in the body of vehicles as well as wire harnesses to Japan and Vietnam. Japan's Daikin Industries is considering moving the assembly of commercial air-conditioners to Malaysia. Just about 30 per cent of the nation's 183 auto assembly plants were online by end February, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers. A lot of the disruption above provides a window to the Indian auto component industry to perk up its backyard.

Most analysts believe it takes a lot to be part of the supply chain and as this is only a short-term event, India does not have a chance. But I believe this is a ‘Black Swan’ event, as coined by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, meaning an unpredictable event that is beyond what is normally expected of a situation with potentially severe consequences. Companies are already scouting for alternate sources for supplies. Not having a fix on how long this will last, companies will want to secure an alternate supply chain route even as positive news on the containment of the virus begins to surface. Indian production facilities of construction equipment owned by multinationals are already set for exports with many already established as export hubs for specific models. These could take some load off the demand of countries dependent on Chinese production facilities in the short run. China is the biggest exporter of ceramic products, especially vitrified floor tiles in Europe, the US, Far-Eastern countries and Africa. Indian tile manufacturers from Morbi and others can also look at a spike in demand from markets that hitherto preferred Chinese ceramics.

For this to turn into an opportunity, the Government must pull its head out of the rabbit hole. It must announce a revised package for exporters as an emergent tactic. Even contractors from India can expect to see a revision in tenders of some projects that have been awarded to Chinese contractors as it would be extremely difficult for them to now provide Chinese workers and machines to undertake the task.

Meanwhile, the National Infrastructure Pipeline has an interesting line-up (see report HERE ). The FM has set aside Rs 220 billion towards the National Investment and Infrastructure Fund. This would be leveraged to raise funds from pension and sovereign funds, which would now find the deal worthwhile given that the impact of the dividend distribution tax has been muted. They have also been provided tax relief when investing in infrastructure. Cube Highways has been agile and is already looking at offloading its road assets at a premium through an InvIT. Stepping in after construction and then off-loading after the asset has gained traction could bring smart returns for the courageous. NHAI needs to follow suit by displaying some agility. We do not have anything to ‘Trumpet’ about during the latest visit by the US President (except probably the Motera project - click HERE); so far, it has only been a good PR exercise.

Despite the godsent opportunity, if we remain absorbed in ‘home’ matters, the world will pass us by. If we want to provide employment to the world’s largest and youngest workforce, we need to wake up and smell the coffee!

About the Author

A chartered account by qualification, Pratap Padode is the founder of ASAPP Info Global Group and his passion for infrastructure over last 20 years is reflected in the innovative thought leadership through 10 specialised journals, conferences and awards organised in the fields of construction, infrastructure and engineering. CONSTRUCTION WORLD was the first journal that he began with over 20 years ago. Further, he is the Founder & Executive Director of FIRST (Foundation of Infrastructure Research Studies Training ), which was set up in 2003, that brings out research reports and newsletters on various infrastructure segments. He received the CIDC Vishwakarma Award 2010 for his research in the construction sector. Since early 2014, he has been promoting the cause of smart cities in India and is now Founder & Executive Director of the Smart Cities Council India.

Coronavirus has put the brakes on growth in several industries. But it has also pummeled the ‘Make in China’ story. China produces nine times the volume of steel that India does; 40 per cent of this is used in construction. Over a third of Chinese steel mills are considering cutting production because of rising inventories. Owing to slow construction activities, the outlook for domestic rebar demand is negative. JCB UK has already cut its production as over 25 per cent of its components and parts suppliers have been affected, in turn disrupting its delivery and production schedules. Komatsu, which sources components from its own plants and outside partners in China, is shifting production of metal parts used in the body of vehicles as well as wire harnesses to Japan and Vietnam. Japan's Daikin Industries is considering moving the assembly of commercial air-conditioners to Malaysia. Just about 30 per cent of the nation's 183 auto assembly plants were online by end February, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers. A lot of the disruption above provides a window to the Indian auto component industry to perk up its backyard. Most analysts believe it takes a lot to be part of the supply chain and as this is only a short-term event, India does not have a chance. But I believe this is a ‘Black Swan’ event, as coined by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, meaning an unpredictable event that is beyond what is normally expected of a situation with potentially severe consequences. Companies are already scouting for alternate sources for supplies. Not having a fix on how long this will last, companies will want to secure an alternate supply chain route even as positive news on the containment of the virus begins to surface. Indian production facilities of construction equipment owned by multinationals are already set for exports with many already established as export hubs for specific models. These could take some load off the demand of countries dependent on Chinese production facilities in the short run. China is the biggest exporter of ceramic products, especially vitrified floor tiles in Europe, the US, Far-Eastern countries and Africa. Indian tile manufacturers from Morbi and others can also look at a spike in demand from markets that hitherto preferred Chinese ceramics. For this to turn into an opportunity, the Government must pull its head out of the rabbit hole. It must announce a revised package for exporters as an emergent tactic. Even contractors from India can expect to see a revision in tenders of some projects that have been awarded to Chinese contractors as it would be extremely difficult for them to now provide Chinese workers and machines to undertake the task. Meanwhile, the National Infrastructure Pipeline has an interesting line-up (see report HERE ). The FM has set aside Rs 220 billion towards the National Investment and Infrastructure Fund. This would be leveraged to raise funds from pension and sovereign funds, which would now find the deal worthwhile given that the impact of the dividend distribution tax has been muted. They have also been provided tax relief when investing in infrastructure. Cube Highways has been agile and is already looking at offloading its road assets at a premium through an InvIT. Stepping in after construction and then off-loading after the asset has gained traction could bring smart returns for the courageous. NHAI needs to follow suit by displaying some agility. We do not have anything to ‘Trumpet’ about during the latest visit by the US President (except probably the Motera project - click HERE); so far, it has only been a good PR exercise. Despite the godsent opportunity, if we remain absorbed in ‘home’ matters, the world will pass us by. If we want to provide employment to the world’s largest and youngest workforce, we need to wake up and smell the coffee!About the AuthorA chartered account by qualification, Pratap Padode is the founder of ASAPP Info Global Group and his passion for infrastructure over last 20 years is reflected in the innovative thought leadership through 10 specialised journals, conferences and awards organised in the fields of construction, infrastructure and engineering. CONSTRUCTION WORLD was the first journal that he began with over 20 years ago. Further, he is the Founder & Executive Director of FIRST (Foundation of Infrastructure Research Studies Training ), which was set up in 2003, that brings out research reports and newsletters on various infrastructure segments. He received the CIDC Vishwakarma Award 2010 for his research in the construction sector. Since early 2014, he has been promoting the cause of smart cities in India and is now Founder & Executive Director of the Smart Cities Council India.

Next Story
Infrastructure Energy

Greaves Electric Mobility Files for IPO

Electric-vehicle manufacturer Greaves Electric Mobility has announced plans to raise Rs 10 billion through an initial public offering (IPO), as stated in its draft papers filed. The company, recognised for its 'Ampere' brand of electric scooters, also produces three-wheelers under a separate brand. Greaves Electric’s major shareholders, Greaves Cotton—a publicly listed entity—and investment firm Abdul Latif Jameel Green Mobility Solutions, will collectively sell approximately 189.4 million shares through the IPO. This move positions Greaves Electric alongside larger competitor Ather En..

Next Story
Infrastructure Energy

IREDA Approves Rs 30 Billion for Odisha's Renewable Energy Projects

Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency (IREDA) has approved funding exceeding Rs 30 billion for renewable energy projects in Odisha as the state strives to achieve its goal of 10 GW capacity by 2030. Pradip Kumar Das, Chairman and Managing Director of IREDA, shared this update during the Odisha Solar Investor Conclave organised by GRIDCO. He emphasised that accessible financing is crucial to fostering the adoption of renewable energy. Das outlined IREDA's significant contributions to funding renewable energy projects in Odisha, spanning sectors such as solar, hydro, ethanol, and renewable..

Next Story
Infrastructure Energy

Oil Prices Rise Amid Light Pre-Christmas Trading

Oil prices edged higher during light trading ahead of the Christmas Day holiday. The increase was attributed to positive US economic data and growing oil demand in India, the third-largest importer of oil globally. Brent crude futures rose by 33 cents, or 0.45 per cent, to reach $72.95 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained 29 cents, or 0.42 per cent, settling at $69.53 per barrel as of 0114 GMT. Economic indicators in the United States highlighted a surge in new orders for key manufactured capital goods in November, driven by robust demand for machinery. Add..

Hi There!

"Now get regular updates from CW Magazine on WhatsApp!

Join the CW WhatsApp channel for the latest news, industry events, expert insights, and project updates from the construction and infrastructure industry.

Click the link below to join"

+91 81086 03000