Transport & building segments hold 62% of India's construction market: ICRA
ECONOMY & POLICY

Transport & building segments hold 62% of India's construction market: ICRA

The Indian construction sector is poised for robust growth, with transportation and building segments continuing to be the primary drivers of the industry. While the transportation sector, encompassing roads, metro, airports, bridges, and flyovers, remains a cornerstone of the construction industry, the building segment, comprising residential, commercial, mixed-use, and industrial projects, continues to be a significant contributor to the overall growth. However, their combined share has declined to 62% in FY2024 from 77% in FY2020. The proportion of orders in mining, water, and energy has increased over the same period. The construction industry is also witnessing a gradual diversification, sectors like mining, water, and energy are gaining traction, contributing to a more balanced order book. ICRA maintains a Stable outlook for the sector with steady growth in operating income, moderate leverage, and comfortable coverage metrics.

ICRA?s analysis reveals that the aggregate order book-to-sales ratio of its sample set of companies remained stable at 3.3x as of March 2024, indicating healthy revenue growth prospects. According to ICRA, the sector is projected to achieve a double-digit growth rate of 12-15% in FY2025. This stability is attributed to the consistent government spending on infrastructure, which has supported order books between 3.3x and 4.0x of operating income over the past five years.

"The aggregate order book-to-sales ratio of ICRA's sample set of companies remained stable at 3.3x as of March 2024 (3.4 times during March-2023), thereby indicating healthy revenue growth prospects over the medium term," said Chintan Lakhani, Vice President and Sector Head - Corporate Ratings, ICRA, "Certain construction entities have witnessed pressure on road sector related order inflows in FY2024, in the backdrop of muted order awarding from the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways. However, diversification into other segments like drinking water, metro segment, or railway station development has helped them sustain their order book. ICRA expects the revenue growth to remain healthy at 12-15% in FY2025".

While the outlook for the construction sector is positive, challenges such as intense competition, rising steel prices, and the elongation of the cash conversion cycle need to be monitored. The steel prices have started itching upwards and could be a spoilsport in the current fiscal. The intense competition in engineering, procurement & construction, and hybrid annuity model projects awarded by the NHAI / the Ministry of Road Transport and Railways continues to remain high; however, it is relatively moderate in segments like sewage and drinking water. Notwithstanding the heightened competition, the operating margins, supported by operating leverage benefits, are expected to largely remain stable at around 11% - 25bps in FY2025 end.

?ICRA expects the cash conversion cycle to elongate, with no further extensions in Atma Nirbhar Bharat scheme-related relaxations beyond Mar-2024. Consequently, the debt levels are expected to increase to support the enhanced working capital requirements. However, the corresponding operational leverage benefits are anticipated to keep the interest cover at ~4.0 times in FY2025e,? Lakhani added.

About ICRA Limited:

ICRA Limited was set up in 1991 by leading financial/investment institutions, commercial banks and financial services companies as an independent and professional investment Information and Credit Rating Agency. Today, ICRA and its subsidiaries together form the ICRA Group of Companies (Group ICRA). ICRA is a Public Limited Company, with its shares listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange. The international Credit Rating Agency Moody's Investors Service is ICRA's largest shareholder.

The Indian construction sector is poised for robust growth, with transportation and building segments continuing to be the primary drivers of the industry. While the transportation sector, encompassing roads, metro, airports, bridges, and flyovers, remains a cornerstone of the construction industry, the building segment, comprising residential, commercial, mixed-use, and industrial projects, continues to be a significant contributor to the overall growth. However, their combined share has declined to 62% in FY2024 from 77% in FY2020. The proportion of orders in mining, water, and energy has increased over the same period. The construction industry is also witnessing a gradual diversification, sectors like mining, water, and energy are gaining traction, contributing to a more balanced order book. ICRA maintains a Stable outlook for the sector with steady growth in operating income, moderate leverage, and comfortable coverage metrics. ICRA?s analysis reveals that the aggregate order book-to-sales ratio of its sample set of companies remained stable at 3.3x as of March 2024, indicating healthy revenue growth prospects. According to ICRA, the sector is projected to achieve a double-digit growth rate of 12-15% in FY2025. This stability is attributed to the consistent government spending on infrastructure, which has supported order books between 3.3x and 4.0x of operating income over the past five years. The aggregate order book-to-sales ratio of ICRA's sample set of companies remained stable at 3.3x as of March 2024 (3.4 times during March-2023), thereby indicating healthy revenue growth prospects over the medium term, said Chintan Lakhani, Vice President and Sector Head - Corporate Ratings, ICRA, Certain construction entities have witnessed pressure on road sector related order inflows in FY2024, in the backdrop of muted order awarding from the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways. However, diversification into other segments like drinking water, metro segment, or railway station development has helped them sustain their order book. ICRA expects the revenue growth to remain healthy at 12-15% in FY2025. While the outlook for the construction sector is positive, challenges such as intense competition, rising steel prices, and the elongation of the cash conversion cycle need to be monitored. The steel prices have started itching upwards and could be a spoilsport in the current fiscal. The intense competition in engineering, procurement & construction, and hybrid annuity model projects awarded by the NHAI / the Ministry of Road Transport and Railways continues to remain high; however, it is relatively moderate in segments like sewage and drinking water. Notwithstanding the heightened competition, the operating margins, supported by operating leverage benefits, are expected to largely remain stable at around 11% - 25bps in FY2025 end. ?ICRA expects the cash conversion cycle to elongate, with no further extensions in Atma Nirbhar Bharat scheme-related relaxations beyond Mar-2024. Consequently, the debt levels are expected to increase to support the enhanced working capital requirements. However, the corresponding operational leverage benefits are anticipated to keep the interest cover at ~4.0 times in FY2025e,? Lakhani added. About ICRA Limited: ICRA Limited was set up in 1991 by leading financial/investment institutions, commercial banks and financial services companies as an independent and professional investment Information and Credit Rating Agency. Today, ICRA and its subsidiaries together form the ICRA Group of Companies (Group ICRA). ICRA is a Public Limited Company, with its shares listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange. The international Credit Rating Agency Moody's Investors Service is ICRA's largest shareholder.

Next Story
Real Estate

Morgan Stanley, others acquires 6.8% stake in PNB Housing for Rs 16.64 Bn

Morgan Stanley, Societe Generale and another entity on Wednesday picked up a total of 177 million, or 6.82% stake, of PNB Housing Finance through open market transactions worth Rs 16.64 billion. According to bulk deal data available on the National Stock Exchange (NSE), Morgan Stanley through its arm Morgan Stanley Asia Singapore purchased over 142 million shares or a 5.4% stake in PNB Housing in two transactions. Ghisallo Master Fund bought 17.90 lakh shares of PNB Housing while Societe Generale acquired 17.09 lakh shares of the firm, as per the data. Meanwhile, global investment firm Carlyle..

Next Story
Real Estate

Prestige Group acquires 22,135 sq m land in Mira Bhayandar

Prestige Estates Projects has acquired 22,135 sq m of land together with all rights within the jurisdiction of Mira Bhayandar Municipal Corporation, Mumbai. The acquired land will be planned for residential development spanning approximately one million sq ft of carpet area. The cost of acquisition is around Rs 2.91 billion. The company achieved a total sales of Rs 42.26 billion for Q2 FY25, bringing its first half of FY25 sales to Rs 70.52 billion. In terms of sales volumes, it recorded three million sq ft in Q2 with the half year, total reaching 5.87 million sq ft. It sold 1,356 units this q..

Next Story
Real Estate

About 22 lakh draft documents uploaded, only 5,300 e-khatas issued

Confirming that the e-khata system is floundering, data from Bruhat Bengaluru Mahanagara Palike has revealed that while 22 lakh draft e-khatas are available online, only 5,324 - or, slightly over 0.2% - final e-khatas had been issued till Friday, though the system was launched with much fanfare in early Oct. This, despite the BBMP's e-khata website receiving 54 lakh visits and 6 lakh draft e-khatas being downloaded. The data revealed that only 30,000 people have applied for e-khata, reflecting the multiple problems they are facing while applying. Those with draft e-khatas are eligible to see..

Hi There!

"Now get regular updates from CW Magazine on WhatsApp!

Join the CW WhatsApp channel for the latest news, industry events, expert insights, and project updates from the construction and infrastructure industry.

Click the link below to join"

+91 81086 03000