A Blast from the Past
ECONOMY & POLICY

A Blast from the Past

Last month I had cited the slowdown in the economy in this column and then just a few days later the GDP figures broke the markets. There are principally five reasons as elucidated by authors of a study by Centre for Social and Economic Studies for this slowdown:Wages for casual a...

Last month I had cited the slowdown in the economy in this column and then just a few days later the GDP figures broke the markets. There are principally five reasons as elucidated by authors of a study by Centre for Social and Economic Studies for this slowdown:Wages for casual and self-employed workers grew by a mere 4.5% during seven quarters versus over 10% to 15% in the previous periodFood inflation averaged 7.1% in last two years over 5.3% in the previous periodGST collections grew at 11.5% versus GDP which grew by 9.3% creating an increased burden of indirect taxes on consumer demandDebt burden of households increased as a percentage of disposable income from 40% in 2019-20 to 48% in 2022-23 and further in 2023-24. Consequently, the debt servicing burden also rose by 20% over the same periodEven though the market capitalisation surged by 89% between April 2020 and March 2024, retail investors lost Rs 1.81 trillion in the derivates market. Notably these losses were mostly borne by investors whose annual income was less than Rs 5 lacsThe finance minister needs to be alarmed with these reasons and the RBI ought to reconsider its stance on the monetary policy. As we wind down the financial year, we ought to also consider the cost of holding elections in the country which have been also the underlying reason for this slowdown. Given that the government spending was the main driver of the economic growth, its stalling during the year has also caused a lower than targeted spending and has led to a muted infusion of multiplication factors which help create the combustion in the economy. The last quarter of the financial year needs to accelerate the budgeted spending and the Union Budget, which is just a month away, needs to fuel this further. The monetary policy in February with the new governor ought to consider a drop in interest rates.States like Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu apart from Uttar Pradesh are ones which have transcended announcements into action and have begun pitching to investors. Maharashtra is likely to follow suit and has a good story to tell with its infrastructure quotient having been sufficiently raised. The Northeast region has a lot of potential and its current Union Minister Jyotiraditya Scindia has put his might behind scoring accelerated progress. Number of airports are being raised to 17 from 9, waterways have risen to 20, 19 projects worth ₹81,941 crore are currently underway, 5,500 kms of highways and MOUs worth ₹38,000 crore already signed, the region is becoming the hub of increased activity.As we ended 2024, our former Prime Minister, Dr Manmohan Singh passed away.  I have had the privilege of meeting late Dr Manmohan Singh in 1993 when I was editing Dalal Street Journal magazine, and we had hosted the Corporate Excellence Awards. Those days the liberalisation initiatives of the government, which Dr Singh along with the then Prime Minister Narsimha Rao, had engineered, had injected energy into India's sagging fortunes. My late father, VB Padode, also seen in the picture, led the equity cult information revolution, through the magazine in India. Dr Singh arrived precisely at 6:20 PM and was escorted to the banquet hall. He inquired about our publishing activities and even bantered with us about the stock markets. Since I was seated next to Dr Singh, I noticed him glance at his watch as the program commenced — it was exactly 6:30 PM, the scheduled start time we had communicated to him.His humility, impeccable conduct, and the insightful speech he delivered to the corporate leaders left a lasting impression on everyone present. Do sign up for the 3rd Metro Rail Conference scheduled on 22nd January 2025 in Mumbai.

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Infrastructure Urban

Trump-Backed $100 Billion Stargate to Use Solar Power for AI Infra

A $100 billion joint venture, endorsed by former President Donald Trump, is set to advance artificial intelligence in the U.S. and will rely partly on renewable energy sources such as solar power and batteries, favored by his climate-focused predecessor.The Stargate venture, announced on January 23, 2025, involves SoftBank Group Corp., OpenAI, and Oracle Corp. These companies will invest $100 billion to establish infrastructure in the U.S., including data centres for OpenAI. Although executives highlighted a potential $500 billion expansion, they did not specify energy sources for the project...

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Building Material

JK Cement Acquires Majority Stake in Saifco Cement to Expand in J&K

JK Cement has made a significant move in its growth strategy by acquiring a 60% equity stake in Saifco Cement, a cement manufacturer based in Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir. The acquisition, valued at approximately Rs 1.74 billion, was approved during a board meeting on January 25, 2025.Located in Khunmoh, Srinagar, Saifco's integrated manufacturing unit, which includes both clinker and grinding capacities, aligns with JK Cement's expansion plans. Saifco has an annual turnover of around Rs 860 million, and this acquisition not only strengthens JK Cement's presence in the region but also offers a ..

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Infrastructure Transport

Etihad Unveils Train Connecting Dubai and Abu Dhabi in 30 Minutes

Etihad Rail has announced the launch of a new high-speed passenger train service between Dubai and Abu Dhabi, set to reduce travel time to just 30 minutes. The trains will travel at speeds of up to 350 km/h, significantly improving connectivity between the two emirates.The announcement was made during an official ceremony at Al Faya Depot, with officials from the Dubai Media Office (DMO) and Abu Dhabi Media Office (ADMO) sharing the news on social media platform X.The high-speed rail route will pass through major destinations and tourist attractions, providing a fast, efficient travel experien..

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