Report: HPCL's financial outlook to improve in 12-18 months
POWER & RENEWABLE ENERGY

Report: HPCL's financial outlook to improve in 12-18 months

According to a report by equity research firm ICICI Securities, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL) is expected to see improved performance over the next 12-18 months. The worst in earnings seems to be over for the company. In the fourth quarter that ended in March 2023, HPCL reported a Profit After Tax (PAT) of Rs 32.2 billion, which is an increase of 80% year-on-year. The company achieved this through higher refining margins and lower 'other opex', with higher 'other income' boosting net earnings.

ICICI Securities predicts that with record marketing margins for petrol and diesel, near-term marketing earnings are set to be significantly stronger. They believe that there will be a sharp increase in refining throughput, resulting in a stronger recovery in FY24E and FY25E. This increase is due to the commissioning of the 7 MTPA Vizag refinery and 9 MTPA Rajasthan refinery.

In the fourth quarter, HPCL reported refinery throughput of 5 mt with over 100% utilisation. Gross Refinery Margins (GRMs) at $14/bbl jumped by $4.9/bbl QoQ and $1.6/bbl Y-o-Y and were the key drivers of the outperformance. Domestic marketing volumes at 10.9 mt were up 6.4% Y-o-Y, whereas export sales of 0.2 MT were down 54% Y-o-Y.

ICICI Securities said, "There has been a significant improvement in marketing margins in the past two months, with blended margins for petrol/diesel estimated at Rs 7.2/ltr in Q1FY24E (till 12th May’23). We expect marketing earnings to show a substantial growth over FY24E/FY25E."

Furthermore, the report stated that HPCL is on track to increase its refinery capacity meaningfully by 7 MTPA for its standalone Vizag refineries and another 4-5 MTPA capacity will come via its 50% share in Rajasthan refinery (HMEL). The higher cashflows over FY24E will lower the net debt significantly.

Also read:
Torrent Power forms TU14 for power generation and trading
Godrej & Boyce expands its portfolio, secures Rs 20 bn


According to a report by equity research firm ICICI Securities, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL) is expected to see improved performance over the next 12-18 months. The worst in earnings seems to be over for the company. In the fourth quarter that ended in March 2023, HPCL reported a Profit After Tax (PAT) of Rs 32.2 billion, which is an increase of 80% year-on-year. The company achieved this through higher refining margins and lower 'other opex', with higher 'other income' boosting net earnings. ICICI Securities predicts that with record marketing margins for petrol and diesel, near-term marketing earnings are set to be significantly stronger. They believe that there will be a sharp increase in refining throughput, resulting in a stronger recovery in FY24E and FY25E. This increase is due to the commissioning of the 7 MTPA Vizag refinery and 9 MTPA Rajasthan refinery. In the fourth quarter, HPCL reported refinery throughput of 5 mt with over 100% utilisation. Gross Refinery Margins (GRMs) at $14/bbl jumped by $4.9/bbl QoQ and $1.6/bbl Y-o-Y and were the key drivers of the outperformance. Domestic marketing volumes at 10.9 mt were up 6.4% Y-o-Y, whereas export sales of 0.2 MT were down 54% Y-o-Y. ICICI Securities said, There has been a significant improvement in marketing margins in the past two months, with blended margins for petrol/diesel estimated at Rs 7.2/ltr in Q1FY24E (till 12th May’23). We expect marketing earnings to show a substantial growth over FY24E/FY25E. Furthermore, the report stated that HPCL is on track to increase its refinery capacity meaningfully by 7 MTPA for its standalone Vizag refineries and another 4-5 MTPA capacity will come via its 50% share in Rajasthan refinery (HMEL). The higher cashflows over FY24E will lower the net debt significantly. Also read: Torrent Power forms TU14 for power generation and trading Godrej & Boyce expands its portfolio, secures Rs 20 bn

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

Budget 2025: Key Highlights

On February 1, 2025, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman presented the Union Budget for the financial year 2025-26 in Parliament. This marks the eighth budget by Sitharaman, making her the first finance minister in India’s history to present so many budgets. It is also the first budget of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s third term.Sitharaman emphasised that the budget focuses on driving growth towards a “Viksit Bharat” (Developed India), with the country maintaining its position as the fastest-growing major economy. She outlined the government’s commitment to inclusive development, im..

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

Budget 2025-26: Industry reactions

Union Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman announced Budget 2025-26 today. The government has planned a number of strategic initiatives which will drive inclusive growth, boost economic growth and provide an impetus to to India’s competitive edge on the global stage.Here’s what industry has to say about various announcements and initiatives announced in the budget:Real Estate“The Union Budget 2025 is a game-changer, reinforcing India's commitment to inclusive and sustainable urban growth. The SWAMIH Fund 2 with Rs 15,000 crore will accelerate the completion of stalled housing projects, b..

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

Budget 2025: Key Announcements Impacting Real Estate

Key takeaways for the real estate sector include:• Income tax relief for the middle class: The finance minister announced zero income tax for individuals earning up to Rs 12 lakh annually, providing a major consumption boost. This move is also expected to strengthen demand for affordable housing. Additionally, the new income tax bill will retain nearly 50 per cent of existing provisions while introducing personal tax reforms and rationalising TDS and TCS regimes by streamlining rates and thresholds.• Tax benefits for residential property investors: Investors can now claim nil valuation for..

Hi There!

"Now get regular updates from CW Magazine on WhatsApp!

Join the CW WhatsApp channel for the latest news, industry events, expert insights, and project updates from the construction and infrastructure industry.

Click the link below to join"

+91 81086 03000