+
Oil prices hold steady amidst oversupply concerns despite OPEC+ cuts
OIL & GAS

Oil prices hold steady amidst oversupply concerns despite OPEC+ cuts

Oil prices held steady amidst ongoing concerns about a surplus in crude supply, despite production cuts by the OPEC+ alliance and expectations of softer fuel demand growth in the coming year.

Brent crude futures saw a marginal decrease of 6 cents, settling at $75.78 per barrel by 1427 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures experienced a 7-cent dip, reaching $71.16.

Although both contracts recorded a more than 2% increase on Friday, they marked their seventh consecutive weekly decline?the longest such streak since 2018?due to persistent worries about oversupply.

John Evans, an oil broker at PVM, stated on Monday that there is little doubt about the oil complex remaining vulnerable.

Despite OPEC+ committing to cut 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil production in the first quarter, investors continue to be skeptical about compliance. Forecasts indicate that output growth in non-OPEC countries could lead to excess supply next year.

RBC Capital Markets predicts stock draws of 700,000 bpd in the first half but only 140,000 bpd for the entire year. The analysts at RBC emphasised that prices will likely remain volatile and directionless until clear data points on compliance with voluntary output cuts emerge.

With the cuts not taking effect until the next month, the oil market faces two months of volatility before clarity emerges from quantifiable compliance data, according to the analysts.

The latest consumer price index data from China, the world's largest oil importer, indicates rising deflationary pressures, casting doubt on the country's economic recovery due to weak domestic demand.

Investors are closely monitoring meetings at five central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, for guidance on interest rate policies. Additionally, US inflation data is being observed to assess potential impacts on the global economy and oil demand.

Recent weakness in prices prompted demand from the United States, which plans to purchase up to 3 million barrels of crude for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) in March 2024. Analysts note that the Biden Administration's efforts to refill the SPR are providing support to prices, along with technical chart indicators.

Simultaneously, a draft of a potential climate deal at the COP28 summit on Monday outlined various options for countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However, it omitted the "phase-out" of fossil fuels, a demand made by many nations. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres emphasised that the success of COP28 would hinge on whether it produced a deal to phase out coal, oil, and gas rapidly enough to avert disastrous climate change.

Oil prices held steady amidst ongoing concerns about a surplus in crude supply, despite production cuts by the OPEC+ alliance and expectations of softer fuel demand growth in the coming year. Brent crude futures saw a marginal decrease of 6 cents, settling at $75.78 per barrel by 1427 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures experienced a 7-cent dip, reaching $71.16. Although both contracts recorded a more than 2% increase on Friday, they marked their seventh consecutive weekly decline?the longest such streak since 2018?due to persistent worries about oversupply. John Evans, an oil broker at PVM, stated on Monday that there is little doubt about the oil complex remaining vulnerable. Despite OPEC+ committing to cut 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil production in the first quarter, investors continue to be skeptical about compliance. Forecasts indicate that output growth in non-OPEC countries could lead to excess supply next year. RBC Capital Markets predicts stock draws of 700,000 bpd in the first half but only 140,000 bpd for the entire year. The analysts at RBC emphasised that prices will likely remain volatile and directionless until clear data points on compliance with voluntary output cuts emerge. With the cuts not taking effect until the next month, the oil market faces two months of volatility before clarity emerges from quantifiable compliance data, according to the analysts. The latest consumer price index data from China, the world's largest oil importer, indicates rising deflationary pressures, casting doubt on the country's economic recovery due to weak domestic demand. Investors are closely monitoring meetings at five central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, for guidance on interest rate policies. Additionally, US inflation data is being observed to assess potential impacts on the global economy and oil demand. Recent weakness in prices prompted demand from the United States, which plans to purchase up to 3 million barrels of crude for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) in March 2024. Analysts note that the Biden Administration's efforts to refill the SPR are providing support to prices, along with technical chart indicators. Simultaneously, a draft of a potential climate deal at the COP28 summit on Monday outlined various options for countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However, it omitted the phase-out of fossil fuels, a demand made by many nations. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres emphasised that the success of COP28 would hinge on whether it produced a deal to phase out coal, oil, and gas rapidly enough to avert disastrous climate change.

Related Stories

Gold Stories

Next Story
Products

Durakraft Focuses on Automation in uPVC Profile Manufacturing

Durakraft Extrusions is strengthening its uPVC profile manufacturing processes through automation, raw material controls and quality checks, with a focus on consistency and long-term performance in door and window applications.The company says it follows the EN 12608 standard for its profiles and aligns manufacturing practices with European quality benchmarks. It also cites ISO, BIS and IGBC certifications as supporting its quality approach.Raw material selection includes the use of lead-free calcium-zinc (Ca-Zn) stabilisers. According to Durakraft, its manufacturing process is largely automat..

Next Story
Infrastructure Energy

Skipper Appoints R N Nayak as Independent Director

Skipper Limited has appointed R N Nayak as a Non-Executive Independent Director on its board, effective 12 October 2026.Nayak, former Chairman and Managing Director of Power Grid Corporation of India Limited (PGCIL), brings more than 40 years of experience in the power sector, including senior roles at PGCIL and NTPC.During his tenure at PGCIL, he led a workforce of about 10,000 employees. According to the announcement, the company more than doubled its assets, revenue and profit in just over three years under his leadership.Nayak serves on the boards of several power and infrastructure compan..

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

CFI Marks 25 Years, Focuses on Future Infrastructure Growth

The Construction Federation of India (CFI) marked its Silver Jubilee with discussions on technology adoption, project execution and the policy and operational challenges facing India’s construction and infrastructure sector.Themed “25 Years of Building Excellence & the Future Ahead,” the programme brought together senior industry leaders and infrastructure experts, with Sanjay Mukherjee, Metropolitan Commissioner, Mumbai Metropolitan Region Development Authority (MMRDA), as chief guest.A leadership panel examined technology, mechanisation, project delivery, governance and sustainable..

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

SPECIAL OFFER
QR Code